Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1322.854441 1512.768552 1726.697004 1986.766086 2296.035058 2654.092022 3102.963207
2025-07-06 996.273135 1228.782908 1516.333580 1902.797568 2415.835700 3083.919921 4037.187083
2025-07-13 882.086299 1142.766897 1485.651042 1979.019376 2686.549160 3690.018217 5268.978012
2025-07-20 785.198317 1057.000892 1432.312662 2002.852910 2874.848893 4204.286900 6482.921618
2025-07-27 715.890253 995.572878 1398.173760 2040.245847 3078.757310 4769.735227 7909.726028
2025-08-03 657.736533 940.728446 1363.096339 2065.812549 3261.773811 5330.321846 9472.633048
2025-08-10 619.841658 910.241644 1358.778960 2136.024073 3526.313346 6080.168474 11605.086752
2025-08-17 580.590341 872.441085 1336.980806 2171.610112 3733.157880 6764.992469 13820.260725
2025-08-24 542.908724 832.654061 1306.400799 2185.871067 3900.520266 7406.218738 16153.340753
2025-08-31 509.585983 796.330603 1276.935047 2196.766817 4061.287296 8067.459899 18772.695235
2025-09-07 484.774217 771.617914 1264.288817 2236.328170 4285.663886 8919.173945 22226.013035
2025-09-14 446.758894 720.758728 1199.919504 2166.908188 4266.709143 9202.454046 24195.954049
2025-09-21 412.207751 674.212776 1140.914179 2104.957195 4263.736295 9550.426480 26609.761874
2025-09-28 378.796670 627.205263 1077.049397 2026.019112 4211.443036 9769.765824 28754.904802
2025-10-05 368.451546 620.842506 1088.840076 2106.596638 4548.511578 11118.176363 35584.744131
2025-10-12 352.611416 602.888363 1076.263693 2132.567737 4757.597844 12174.506674 42021.869600
2025-10-19 339.645451 589.181714 1070.569203 2172.892989 5011.829889 13449.246628 50310.597091
2025-10-26 326.427079 573.863568 1060.018827 2200.502851 5238.530215 14717.223310 59625.938909
2025-11-02 318.670810 568.497620 1069.354069 2276.338263 5615.898431 16630.934972 74049.532658
2025-11-09 308.056324 556.582630 1063.656382 2314.791324 5895.156662 18312.382539 89060.493674
2025-11-16 296.281269 541.417068 1049.514984 2330.204146 6109.746077 19842.855048 105024.503025
2025-11-23 285.065682 526.566351 1034.702574 2341.981114 6316.877287 21437.238295 123640.578972
2025-11-30 276.896939 517.427289 1031.773683 2384.750340 6635.384085 23651.081136 150584.723875